Mozambique’s Election: Frelimo poised to extend 50-year rule amid challenges

Mozambique’s upcoming election is likely to see the ruling Frelimo party maintain its half-century grip on power, despite facing a strong challenge from independent candidate Venancio Mondlane. President Filipe Nyusi is stepping down, with Frelimo’s Daniel Chapo expected to succeed him.

The election occurs against a backdrop of an Islamist insurgency in the north, which has disrupted multi-billion dollar gas projects and displaced hundreds of thousands. The country is also recovering from an economic crisis partly caused by a hidden debt scandal.

Chapo, seen as business-friendly, is expected to focus on gas deals to address Mozambique’s debt burden. He has proposed talks with insurgent leaders while continuing military operations, likely maintaining the partnership with Rwandan troops.

The opposition, including Renamo and Mondlane, faces an uphill battle against Frelimo, which has been accused of rigging previous elections – allegations it denies. Observers warn of potential post-election unrest if results are disputed.

Economic plans remain vague, with candidates promising job creation and improved infrastructure despite IMF-imposed austerity measures. The election’s outcome will significantly impact Mozambique’s approach to its insurgency, economic recovery, and international partnerships.