Moroccan industrialists forecast activity improvement despite sectoral disparities

Moroccan industrialists forecast activity improvement despite sectoral disparities

Moroccan industrialists anticipate business activity improvement over the next three months, according to Bank Al-Maghrib’s September 2025 business survey, though expectations vary significantly across sectors.

Forecasts indicate anticipated production and sales increases across most industrial branches, with exceptions in textile-leather facing stagnation expectations and chemicals-petrochemicals anticipating production declines. For September itself, the survey recorded overall improvement marked by production and sales progression across most sectors, excluding agribusiness and chemicals-petrochemicals.

The capacity utilization rate reached 80%—considered comfortable relative to recent trends—while sales advanced in both domestic and export markets. However, orders remain stagnant, with order books below normal levels across most industrial sectors.

According to a recent Bank Al-Maghrib survey covering the second quarter, 71% of industrial companies described business climate as normal, with only 16% considering conditions unfavorable. The textile-leather industry showed strongest confidence at 89% reporting normal conditions, followed by chemicals-petrochemicals at 75%. The agribusiness sector faced greater challenges, with just 67% describing conditions as normal while 22% found them unfavorable.

A subsequent survey published this week indicated 61% of business owners expect sales stagnation in coming months, suggesting cautious optimism tempered by economic uncertainty. Only 24% anticipate higher sales while 3% foresee declines. Production forecasts reveal similar trends, with most companies expecting steady output despite capacity utilization improvements.

Despite challenges, supply chain conditions remained smooth, with 87% of industrial firms reporting normal supply situations. Staffing levels stayed largely unchanged across sectors, with 78% maintaining stable workforces while 18% increased employee numbers, demonstrating sector resilience amid uncertain global economic conditions.

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